Guardians vs Cubs Prediction - MLB Picks 7/2/23

Chicago Cubs (38-42) vs Cleveland Guardians (39-42)

Game Info: Sunday, July 2, 2023 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Jameson Taillon (2-6) (6.75) vs Aaron Civale (2-2) (3.18)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs +100 / Cleveland Guardians -125 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Chicago Cubs will host the Cleveland Guardians for their interleague series finale this Sunday from Wrigley Field on MARQ. Cleveland took Game two in shutout fashion, 6-0. 

Guardians Betting Preview 

Cleveland moved to 40-42 after losing to Chicago. The Guardians bounced back by silencing the Cubs on Saturday, and they’ll look to close the road trip strong here. The Cleveland offense is scoring 3.85 runs per Game, while batting .229, with a .304 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.78 ERA, with a 1.28 WHIP. Jose Ramirez had multiple hits in the Game two victory, and he leads the Guardians in hits (91), while batting (.297), with 13 homers and 52 RBI. Josh Naylor carries a seven-Game hit streak into the weekend, and he’s posting team-leads in batting (.295) and RBI (58). Steven Kwan has collected a hit in eight of the previous ten Games, and he leads Cleveland in runs scored (55), while batting .261.

Aaron Civale (2-2, 3.18 ERA, 33 Ks) will get the ball for Cleveland. The fifth-year righty nearly pitched a second straight quality start last week against Milwaukee, going six innings, but giving four runs en route to a Guardians loss. The four runs marked his highest total allowed since returning at the start of June, as he’s been rather steady on the mound through five starts. Civale will look to bounce back here in Chicago, and he’s only allowed two runs in three road outings this season. 

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Cubs Betting Preview

Chicago comes in at 38-43 after defeating Cleveland. The Cubs were contained in Game two, and they’ll look to show more fight in the series finale. The Chicago offense is scoring 4.12 runs per Game, while batting .243, with a .323 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.18 ERA, with a 1.28 WHIP. Nico Hoerner had his nine-Game hit streak snapped in the loss to Cleveland, but he still leads the Cubs in batting (.287), hits (88), and RBI (42). Dansby Swanson has collected a hit in seven of the last ten Games, and he’s posting a line of .264/9/35. Christopher Morel homered in the Game one win, and he now leads Chicago in home runs (14), with 34 RBI. 

Jameson Taillon (2-6, 6.90 ERA, 27 Ks) will get the ball for Chicago. The eighth-year pitcher managed to toss a season-high eight strikeouts, but he gave up five runs in five innings, and dropped his second straight decision. Taillon has now allowed four runs or more in seven of his last nine starts, while surpassing the five-strikeout mark just once. Taillon just can’t get it going for the Cubs after signing on over the winter, and it’s unclear if things will turn around for him this season. 

Cleveland vs Chicago Trends

Cleveland is 39-43 against the spread this season, with a 32-46-3 O/U record. Chicago is 43-38 ATS this year, with a 38-39-3 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Two lopsided victories lead us into what should be a contested rubber match. Cleveland will come into this one with a pitching advantage with Aaron Civale set to go, but Chicago was just shut out for the first time in nearly a month, and they may just come out swinging. The Cubs will be sending a vulnerable Jameson Taillon to the hill, who’s impossible to trust right, and more of a target than anything. The Guardians’ bats should be able to find production against the struggling pitcher, and I like rolling the dice with them on the road here. Back Cleveland for this interleague matchup, and give the Over a look, as we may finally receive a contested matchup in the finale.

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