Padres vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 6/29/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (37-42) vs San Diego Padres (37-43)

Game Info: Thursday, June 29, 2023 at 12:35 pm (PNC Park)

Luis Ortiz (2-3) (3.74) vs Joe Musgrove (6-2) (3.88)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +168 / San Diego Padres -198 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 3 of their series on Thursday afternoon at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 37-43 this season and they have lost four Games in a row. Prior to losing the first two Games in this series, San Diego lost two out of three Games to Washington. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this year. The Padres offense has scored 340 runs with a .233 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .267 with 14 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Joe Musgrove, who is 6-2 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 60.1 innings pitched this season.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 37-42 this season and they have lost 12 of their last 15 Games. Pittsburgh has won the first two Games in this series by scores of 9-4 and 7-1. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 329 runs with a .240 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Jack Suwinski is batting .215 with 16 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Luis Ortiz, who is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 45.2 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

San Diego is 4-12 in their last 16 Thursday Games and 1-5 in their last 6 Game three’s of a series. The over is 4-0 on San Diego’s last 4 Thursday Games. Pittsburgh is 49-102 in their last 151 Game three’s of a series and 4-13 in their last 17 Games. The over is 9-4 in Pittsburgh’s last 13 Thursday Games. The over is 4-1-1 in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings in Pittsburgh.

Pick

Pittsburgh continues to slip down the NL Central standings, but they will be at home for this Game and they will be looking for the sweep. San Diego continues to disappoint this year and they are fourth in the NL West. San Diego is starting Joe Musgrove, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Pittsburgh is starting Luis Ortiz, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Both of these pitchers have had solid starts recently and I like the under here. 

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